Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000523 0.000595 0.000673 0.000760 0.000857 0.000960 0.001078
2026-01-25 0.000416 0.000518 0.000633 0.000773 0.000936 0.001121 0.001344
2026-02-01 0.000353 0.000467 0.000603 0.000774 0.000982 0.001226 0.001531
2026-02-08 0.000294 0.000411 0.000557 0.000749 0.000990 0.001281 0.001656
2026-02-15 0.000249 0.000368 0.000521 0.000728 0.000998 0.001332 0.001772
2026-02-22 0.000219 0.000339 0.000500 0.000724 0.001024 0.001404 0.001914
2026-03-01 0.000196 0.000317 0.000484 0.000724 0.001052 0.001478 0.002060
2026-03-08 0.000173 0.000293 0.000463 0.000715 0.001068 0.001534 0.002183
2026-03-15 0.000153 0.000270 0.000443 0.000704 0.001078 0.001581 0.002294
2026-03-22 0.000144 0.000264 0.000444 0.000724 0.001132 0.001688 0.002487
2026-03-29 0.000133 0.000254 0.000441 0.000735 0.001173 0.001779 0.002660
2026-04-05 0.000120 0.000237 0.000425 0.000727 0.001185 0.001828 0.002776
2026-04-12 0.000107 0.000221 0.000408 0.000717 0.001193 0.001874 0.002889
2026-04-19 0.000099 0.000212 0.000403 0.000724 0.001228 0.001957 0.003057
2026-04-26 0.000091 0.000202 0.000395 0.000726 0.001254 0.002029 0.003210
2026-05-03 0.000079 0.000184 0.000372 0.000702 0.001239 0.002038 0.003272
2026-05-10 0.000069 0.000169 0.000352 0.000683 0.001229 0.002054 0.003345
2026-05-17 0.000063 0.000160 0.000342 0.000679 0.001244 0.002107 0.003472
2026-05-24 0.000057 0.000152 0.000335 0.000679 0.001264 0.002169 0.003613
2026-05-31 0.000052 0.000143 0.000324 0.000671 0.001270 0.002210 0.003723
2026-06-07 0.000046 0.000133 0.000312 0.000660 0.001271 0.002241 0.003819
2026-06-14 0.000045 0.000133 0.000316 0.000679 0.001323 0.002354 0.004041
2026-06-21 0.000042 0.000130 0.000316 0.000690 0.001362 0.002446 0.004233